• Barnard’s Star and the ‘Wait Equation’ collapsed:: true
    • via Matt Webb Do not buy three decades of loo paper, nor depart today for Barnard’s Star
    • Current technology would allow us to reach Barnard’s Star in 12,000 years, setting off today.
    • Or: wait.

    • If technology growth is likely to double every 100 years the speed at which this journey could be made, then, using equation –1, it would seem that a voyager need only wait 690 years or so to make the journey in 100 years or less (i.e. at a speed of 6/100 speed of light). In other words, the star could be reached in well under a thousand years from now simply by waiting. Total time to destination is 690 years of wait + 100 years of travel = 790 years.

    • Wait Equation
    • I’ve observed this same wait equation applies to technology of all kinds. Thinking about this from a Wardley Maps perspective, technology becomes easier to use (as well as cheaper etc etc) as it moves Wardley Right — more commoditized collapsed:: true
      • I think of the early days of ML.
      • The first releases of #TensorFlow were incredibly hard to use and put into production. Early adopters spent 6 months just getting things working.
      • Then, Google dumped an update out in public and it now took weeks or days to get started
      • The people who spent 6 months struggling, expending effort vs all of the resources of Google wasted a lot of their effort — and would likely have been better off just waiting
      • b5 and the Qri team also paid this cost on the early days of the #IPFS protocol and network
  • Early stage funding is missing in Canada by Jesse Rodgers of Eigenspace
  • Mastodon Digest #Mastodon #Python
    • A Python script that aggregates recent popular posts from your Mastodon timeline